Assess Output Reasonableness
– Standard errors < estimated values
– Base reflects categories with highest exposure
– Factors with similar estimates should be grouped
– Relativities for factors make intuitive sense
– ensuring continuous curves are only fitted to reasonable factors
– ensuring interaction effects have been allowed for
– assess changes to model one change at a time
Compare Actual vs Modelled
Deviance
– how far the actual data differs from the fitted model
Degrees of Freedom
– number of places the actual data could differ from model
– number of observations less parameters of model
Statistical tests
– F-Test: [(D2 – D1)/(DF2 – DF1)] / [D1/DF1]
. checks overall goodness of fit
– t/z-Test
Use Residual Plots to assess:
– Heteroskedasticity
– Outliers
– Biasness
QQ Plot
– to assess residual quantiles against expected residuals of normal distribution
– should be a straight 45 degree line, otherwise:
. if greater then tail heavier than assumed
. if less then tail is not as heavy as assumed
